{"id":126828,"date":"2021-03-10T11:00:12","date_gmt":"2021-03-10T17:00:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wwwproxy.uscho.com\/?p=126828"},"modified":"2021-03-10T15:11:40","modified_gmt":"2021-03-10T21:11:40","slug":"bracketology-what-teams-are-in-the-ncaa-tournament-what-teams-are-not-with-mens-college-hockey-playoffs-starting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wwwproxy.uscho.com\/2021\/03\/10\/bracketology-what-teams-are-in-the-ncaa-tournament-what-teams-are-not-with-mens-college-hockey-playoffs-starting\/","title":{"rendered":"Bracketology: What teams are in the NCAA tournament, what teams are not with men’s college hockey playoffs starting"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/a>
If the NCAA tournament began today, would Peter DiLiberatore and Quinnipiac be among the field of 16? (photo: Rob Rasmussen).<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

We promised it last week, that in this week\u2019s Bracketology, Jayson and I would try to find some sort of agreement on a field, just like being on the NCAA committee.<\/p>\n

If we\u2019re able to do that (spoiler: we\u2019re not), we\u2019ll attempt to put together what we think the regionals should look like.<\/p>\n

As mentioned in the previous two editions, at-large selection of teams will change. Based on the extremely limited amount of inter-conference play, it is very difficult to compare one league to another and thus, one team to another.<\/p>\n

The NCAA has attempted to clarify the process. In a memo from the NCAA that was issued on February 16, it states:<\/p>\n

\u201cDue to the limited number of inter-conference games played this year, the committee has determined that the statistical value of the PairWise and RPI is not what it is in a typical year. As a result, the committee will not be using a strict PairWise comparisons as the sole determinant for at-large selection and seeding.<\/b>\u00a0However, the various criteria that have made up the PairWise and the RPI will be the primary basis for consideration by the committee in its selection and seeding process.<\/p>\n

The criteria include:
\n\u2022 Won\/Loss Record
\n\u2022 Strength of Schedule
\n\u2022 Head-to-Head Results
\n\u2022 Results vs. Common Opponents
\n\u2022 Quality Wins
\n\u2022 Home\/Away Weighting<\/p>\n

Due to the unusual nature of this year\u2019s selection process, the committee will institute the use of two regional advisory committees comprised of six members each. Three national committee members from each region, as well as additional coach from each conference in the region, will serve on the regional advisory committees. The representatives were provided to the committee based on recommendations from the conference commissioners. These committees will assist in the observation and evaluation of teams and provide recommendations to the national committee.\u201d<\/p>\n

Let\u2019s attempt to translate.<\/p>\n

Basically, the PairWise, as we all know it can be thrown out. But the criteria used to establish the PairWise can and will be used to rank teams, particularly within each conference. From there, though, there will be an \u201ceye test\u201d provided by two regional committees that will help the six-member NCAA committee select the field.<\/p>\n

Thus, in this year\u2019s Brackteology, Jim Connelly and Jayson Moy will work each week to give their best guesses based on games played to date, which teams should qualify for the 16-team field.<\/p>\n

Jim: For me, Jayson, not a ton has changed in the last week. Maybe some teams like Michigan and Omaha have made me feel better about their at-large bids with wins over Minnesota and North Dakota, respectively. But there hasn\u2019t been much that would change my mind on my approach. Now let\u2019s see if I can convince you that this is the best approach.<\/p>\n

Once again, I\u2019m ranking the conferences in order of strength. This is done simply with an eye test. I have watched plenty of hockey this season, just as the committee members have. And because of that, I\u2019ve ranked the conferences as follows.<\/p>\n

Tier I<\/strong>: NCHC
\nTier II<\/strong>: Hockey East, Big Ten
\nTier III<\/strong>: ECAC
\nTier IV<\/strong>: WCHA, Atlantic Hockey<\/p>\n

From here, I\u2019ve created a list of \u201clocks,\u201d teams that, should there not be major upsets in conference tournaments, these are the teams I believe should be in the tournament, regardless. I will list them in each conference, in order of strongest to weakest. That might help give some guidance to rankings when we need to determine bands for each team.<\/p>\n

NCHC<\/strong>: North Dakota, St. Cloud State, Minnesota Duluth, Omaha
\nHockey East<\/strong>: Boston College, Boston University, Massachusetts
\nB1G<\/strong>: Wisconsin, Minnesota, Michigan
\nECAC<\/strong>: Quinnipiac
\nAHA<\/strong>: AIC
\nWCHA<\/strong>: Minnesota State, Bowling Green<\/p>\n

Right now, I\u2019ve accounted for 14 of 16 spots. Pretty consistent with last week.<\/p>\n

Now, I\u2019ve got to find a way to fill two additional spots. I\u2019m going to create a bubble based on records and results to date.<\/p>\n

These are the teams I have on my bubble, in alphabetical order: Bemidji State, Clarkson, Connecticut, Lake Superior and Notre Dame.<\/p>\n

Now we have some really difficult decisions. To help, I\u2019m going to list each teams record against my 14 lock teams:<\/p>\n

Bemidji State: 5-3-0
\nClarkson: 2-2-2
\nConnecticut: 1-4-2
\nLake Superior: 2-2-0
\nNotre Dame: 4-7-1<\/p>\n

I\u2019m not sure how much this helped, but it does show me that UConn, right now at least, is a team I want to eliminate with just a single win in seven attempts against Hockey East\u2019s top three teams.<\/p>\n

Conversely, I\u2019m impressed enough by Bemidji State\u2019s performances that I am ready to given them the 15th spot.<\/p>\n

That leaves me with Notre Dame, Clarkson and Lake Superior. Notre Dame has the most wins against the top 3 teams in the Big Ten, but also had the most opportunities. The other two \u2013 Clarkson and Lake Superior – are pretty similar.<\/p>\n

So I\u2019m going back to my rankings of leagues and, with these three teams somewhat similar, I\u2019m going with Notre Dame.<\/p>\n

That leaves me with these 16 teams (I\u2019m putting them in order of what I perceive are strongest to weakest):<\/p>\n

North Dakota
\nBoston College
\nWisconsin
\nMinnesota State
\nSt. Cloud State
\nMinnesota
\nQuinnipiac
\nMichigan
\nBoston University
\nMinnesota Duluth
\nUMass
\nBowling Green
\nOmaha
\nAIC
\nNotre Dame
\nBemidji State<\/p>\n

So Jayson, I\u2019ll turn it over to you. Agree? Or better said, anything you strongly disagree with?<\/p>\n

Jayson: I think that we are in agreement on 13 of your lock teams. The one that I am not sold is without a doubt Omaha.<\/p>\n

One win over North Dakota doesn\u2019t do it for me. The reason? This year Omaha was 2-4 against North Dakota, the two wins being one goal wins and one in overtime. Diving deeper, it was 1-1 against St. Cloud State and 0-1-1 against Minnesota-Duluth. That\u2019s a total of 3-6-1 against the top three teams that are locks. Not good enough in my eyes.<\/p>\n

So I would lump Omaha into the under consideration group.<\/p>\n

In my group of consideration for the final three spots, I would say that it contains the following teams.<\/p>\n

I would not discount Robert Morris and Army. Robert Morris was the winner of the Western pod in Atlantic Hockey. Yes, AIC is the class of the AHA this year, but I think both Army and Robert Morris deserve consideration.<\/p>\n

In the Big Ten, I am not sold on Notre Dame being under consideration. 2-5-1 against the top two (Wisconsin, Minnesota) and 2-2 against Michigan. Michigan was 4-4 against Wisconsin and Minnesota. But, I will leave Notre Dame in the mix as well.<\/p>\n

In the ECAC, yes, I would leave Clarkson in the mix at 2-2-2 against Quinnipiac, the top team in the conference.<\/p>\n

You have UConn in the mix, but I will counter and say that if Providence beats UConn in the Hockey East Quarters, then Providence is under consideration instead of UConn.<\/p>\n

In the NCHC, as we mentioned, Omaha deserves consideration. But to me, a loss to Denver in the quarterfinal will eliminate it.<\/p>\n

In the WCHA, I would consider Lake Superior and Bemidji State. Lake Superior is tough to determine because it has only played Minnesota State and Bowling Green to a 2-2 record, whereas Bemidji State has played them to a 5-3 record.<\/p>\n

So my bubble for three spots is:<\/p>\n

Army
\nRobert Morris
\nNotre Dame
\nClarkson
\nUConn\/Providence
\nOmaha
\nBemidji State
\nLake Superior<\/p>\n

Jim, as you have done, I want to place some sort of ranking on the teams. Based on my analysis above, the most precarious teams on this list are Army, Robert Morris, UConn\/Providence, Lake Superior.<\/p>\n

I am ready to say that if these teams don\u2019t advance to a Championship Game, I am ready to eliminate them.<\/p>\n

The same can\u2019t be said for Clarkson, Notre Dame, Omaha and Bemidji State.<\/p>\n

Four teams for three spots.<\/p>\n

I will come back to my method previously.<\/p>\n

Record against the top teams in order to break ties.<\/p>\n

Clarkson (2-2-2 against Quinnipiac)
\nNotre Dame (0-3-1 against Wisconsin)
\nOmaha (2-4-0 against North Dakota)
\nBemidji State (2-3-1 against Minnesota State)<\/p>\n

Based on this, I eliminate Notre Dame.<\/p>\n

My field:<\/p>\n

AIC
\nWisconsin
\nMinnesota
\nMichigan
\nQuinnipiac
\nClarkson
\nBoston College
\nBoston University
\nMassachusetts
\nNorth Dakota
\nSt. Cloud State
\nMinnesota-Duluth
\nOmaha
\nMinnesota State
\nBowling Green
\nBemidji State<\/p>\n

Now, let me take a crack at Bracketing the tournament.<\/p>\n

Our regional sites this year:<\/p>\n

Bridgeport, Conn.
\nAlbany, N.Y.
\nFargo, N.D.
\nLoveland, Colo.<\/p>\n

We will keep in mind that the NCAA will limit travel because of safety precautions, etc.<\/p>\n

But first, we\u2019ll select the top seeds.<\/p>\n

I agree with Jim that the top four teams are:<\/p>\n

North Dakota
\nBoston College
\nWisconsin
\nMinnesota State<\/p>\n

I will also agree with Jim on most of the next four selections, except I would replace Michigan with Boston University<\/p>\n

St Cloud State
\nMinnesota
\nQuinnipiac
\nBoston University<\/p>\n

My next four selections would be<\/p>\n

Michigan
\nMinnesota Duluth
\nMassachusetts
\nBowling Green<\/p>\n

My final four selections would be<\/p>\n

Bemidji State
\nOmaha
\nAIC
\nClarkson<\/p>\n

I am going to place the No. 1 seeds as we previously have done in the past \u2013 closest to home.<\/p>\n

Fargo \u2013 North Dakota
\nBridgeport \u2013 Boston College
\nAlbany \u2013 Wisconsin
\nLoveland \u2013 Minnesota State<\/p>\n

I will keep the theme going for the other bands<\/p>\n

Fargo \u2013 Minnesota
\nBridgeport \u2013 Quinnipiac
\nAlbany \u2013 Boston University
\nLoveland \u2013 St Cloud State<\/p>\n

The third band<\/p>\n

Fargo \u2013 Minnesota-Duluth
\nBridgeport \u2013 Massachusetts
\nAlbany \u2013 Bowling Green
\nLoveland \u2013 Michigan<\/p>\n

The fourth band<\/p>\n

Fargo \u2013 Bemidji State
\nBridgeport \u2013 AIC
\nAlbany \u2013 Clarkson
\nLoveland \u2013 Omaha<\/p>\n

Let\u2019s put the bracket together<\/p>\n

Fargo Regional<\/strong>
\nBemidji State vs. North Dakota
\nMinnesota Duluth vs. Minnesota<\/p>\n

Bridgeport Regional<\/strong>
\nAIC vs. Boston College
\nMassachusetts vs. Quinnipiac<\/p>\n

Albany Regional<\/strong>
\nClarkson vs. Wisconsin
\nBowling Green vs. Boston University<\/p>\n

Loveland Regional<\/strong>
\nOmaha vs. Minnesota State
\nMichigan vs. St. Cloud State<\/p>\n

And there you have it. No intra-conference matchups to be seen.<\/p>\n

What do you think about these brackets Jim?<\/p>\n

Jim: Well, you just made this seem a lot simpler than I thought possible. But, as you say, we have some disagreements for the final few spots. So let\u2019s see what happens when I take my 16 teams.<\/p>\n

My top four teams:<\/p>\n

North Dakota
\nBoston College
\nWisconsin
\nMinnesota State<\/p>\n

My second-band teams:<\/p>\n

St. Cloud State
\nMinnesota
\nQuinnipiac
\nMichigan<\/p>\n

My third-band teams:<\/p>\n

Boston University
\nMinnesota Duluth
\nUMass
\nBowling Green<\/p>\n

My fourth-band teams:<\/p>\n

Omaha
\nAIC
\nNotre Dame
\nBemidji State<\/p>\n

With four western teams in the top band, there\u2019s going to be some air travel, regardless. For top seeds, I\u2019ll put:<\/p>\n

Top seeds:<\/p>\n

Fargo: North Dakota
\nBridgeport: Boston College
\nLoveland: Minnesota State
\nAlbany: Wisconsin<\/p>\n

Second seeds:<\/p>\n

Fargo: St. Cloud State
\nBridgeport: Michigan
\nLoveland: Minnesota
\nAlbany: Quinnipiac<\/p>\n

Third seeds:<\/p>\n

Fargo: Minnesota Duluth
\nBridgeport: Boston University
\nLoveland: Bowling Green
\nAlbany: UMass<\/p>\n

Fourth seeds:<\/p>\n

Fargo: Bemidji State
\nBridgeport: Notre Dame
\nLoveland: Omaha
\nAlbany: AIC<\/p>\n

That leaves me:<\/p>\n

Fargo Regional<\/strong>
\nNorth Dakota vs. Bemidji State
\nSt. Cloud State vs. Minnesota Duluth<\/p>\n

Bridgeport Regional<\/strong>
\nBoston College vs. Notre Dame
\nBoston University vs. Michigan<\/p>\n

Loveland Regional<\/strong>
\nMinnesota State vs. Omaha
\nMinnesota vs. Bowling Green<\/p>\n

Albany Regional<\/strong>
\nWisconsin vs. AIC
\nQuinnipiac vs. UMass<\/p>\n

We do have an issue with Fargo as St. Cloud State and Minnesota Duluth can\u2019t face one another. But a quick switch of Minnesota Duluth and Bowling Green (yes, that means putting the Bulldogs on a plane as opposed to a bus), should work.<\/p>\n

Thus, this week\u2019s final brackets<\/p>\n

Jayson\u2019s bracket:<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Fargo Regional<\/strong>
\nBemidji State vs. North Dakota
\nMinnesota Duluth vs. Minnesota<\/p>\n

Bridgeport Regional<\/strong>
\nAIC vs. Boston College
\nMassachusetts vs. Quinnipiac<\/p>\n

Albany Regional<\/strong>
\nClarkson vs Wisconsin
\nBowling Green vs. Boston University<\/p>\n

Loveland Regional<\/strong>
\nOmaha vs. Minnesota State
\nMichigan vs. St. Cloud State<\/p>\n

Jim\u2019s bracket:<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Fargo Regional<\/strong>
\nNorth Dakota vs. Bemidji State
\nSt. Cloud State vs. Bowling Green<\/p>\n

Bridgeport Regional<\/strong>
\nBoston College vs. Notre Dame
\nBoston University vs. Michigan<\/p>\n

Loveland Regional<\/strong>
\nMinnesota State vs. Omaha
\nMinnesota vs. Minnesota Duluth<\/p>\n

Albany Regional<\/strong>
\nWisconsin vs. AIC
\nQuinnipiac vs. UMass<\/p>\n

Last four in:
\nJim: Omaha, AIC, Notre Dame, Bemidji State
\nJayson: Bemidji State, AIC, Clarkson, Omaha<\/p>\n

First four out:
\nJim: Clarkson, UConn, Lake Superior, Providence
\nJayson: Notre Dame, Lake Superior, UConn, Robert Morris<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

We promised it last week, that in this week\u2019s Bracketology, Jayson and I would try to find some sort of agreement on a field, just like being on the NCAA committee.<\/p>\n

If we\u2019re able to do that (spoiler: we\u2019re not), we\u2019ll attempt to put together what we think the regionals should look like.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":126829,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[947,4,1],"tags":[812],"coauthors":[869,800],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBracketology: What teams are in the NCAA tournament, what teams are not with men's college hockey playoffs starting - College Hockey | USCHO.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"We promised it last week, that in this week\u2019s Bracketology, Jayson and I would try to find some sort of agreement on a field, just like being on the NCAA committee. 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