{"id":133270,"date":"2022-03-09T18:00:11","date_gmt":"2022-03-10T00:00:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wp-admin.uscho.com\/?p=133270"},"modified":"2022-03-09T15:38:01","modified_gmt":"2022-03-09T21:38:01","slug":"bracketology-as-college-hockey-playoffs-kick-into-high-gear-which-teams-are-on-the-bubble-and-which-teams-are-locks-for-ncaa-tournament-bids","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wp-admin.uscho.com\/2022\/03\/09\/bracketology-as-college-hockey-playoffs-kick-into-high-gear-which-teams-are-on-the-bubble-and-which-teams-are-locks-for-ncaa-tournament-bids\/","title":{"rendered":"Bracketology: As college hockey playoffs kick into high gear, which teams are on the bubble, and which teams are locks for NCAA tournament bids?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/a>
Both UMass and UMass Lowell figure to make the 2022 MCAA tournament (photo: Rich Gagnon).<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

We\u2019re three weeks into Braceketology and we\u2019re already seeing some conference tournament results that are having lasting impact.<\/p>\n

Last weekend, it was Ohio State losing its series in three games to Penn State. The Buckeyes have no games remaining to change their PairWise possibilities, and right now OSU sits right on the tournament bubble \u2013 15th \u2013 given that whatever team wins Atlantic Hockey will take the 16th seed.<\/p>\n

Right now, the Buckeyes become cheerleaders and they have to root for frontrunners, particularly in Hockey East, the ECAC and the CCHA. If any team currently not in the top 15 of the PairWise wins any of these conference titles, Ohio State\u2019s chances of qualifying become slim to none.<\/p>\n

The fact that Penn State remains alive in the Big Ten playoffs could have a nice, positive impact on the NCAA tournament. Should the Nittany Lions win their next two games and earn the B1G autobid, they would be assigned to Allentown as regional host and likely save the attendance for the region. Right now, that appears a destination that could feel pretty empty.<\/p>\n

Here are the brackets both I and Jayson put forward this week with our approach on how we get there:<\/p>\n

Jim\u2019s Bracket & Approach<\/strong><\/p>\n

I\u2019ll start with the basics \u2013 seeding the tournament 1 through 16 using bracket integrity:<\/p>\n

Minnesota State
\nQuinnipiac
\nNotre Dame
\nAIC<\/p>\n

Michigan
\nSt. Cloud State
\nMichigan Tech
\nOhio State<\/p>\n

Denver
\nNorth Dakota
\nMinnesota Duluth
\nOhio State<\/p>\n

Minnesota
\nWestern Michigan
\nMassachusetts
\nUMass Lowell<\/p>\n

Remember, that in each region, the top team plays the bottom and the middle teams play one another. Thus, we have two conflicts with Michigan and Ohio State, two B1G teams, set to meet along with North Dakota and Minnesota Duluth set to play from the NCHC.<\/p>\n

Let\u2019s address the second first. I feel that switching Quinnipiac and North Dakota makes sense, particularly when I look at where I geographically align each region.<\/p>\n

Similarly, I\u2019d like to get Northeastern our of Denver\u2019s region as we know the Pioneers have to play in Loveland. With so few eastern teams in this field, I\u2019d prefer to have Northeastern in either Worcester or Albany. So switching Northeastern and Ohio State makes sense to me.<\/p>\n

Thus we end up with four brackets, and I\u2019ll assign my regions at this point.<\/p>\n

Allentown
\n1. Minnesota State
\n2. North Dakota
\n3. Notre Dame
\n4. AIC<\/p>\n

Albany
\n1. Michigan
\n2. St. Cloud State
\n3. Michigan Tech
\n4. Northeastern<\/p>\n

Loveland
\n1. Denver
\n2. Quinnipiac
\n3. Minnesota Duluth
\n4. Ohio State<\/p>\n

Worcester
\n1. Minnesota
\n2. Western Michigan
\n3. Massachusetts
\n4. UMass Lowell<\/p>\n

You\u2019ll ask why I assigned each region as I did?<\/p>\n

Worcester will have to local teams in UMass and UMass Lowell. Loveland of course has its host Denver. Allentown, a region where I have massive concerns about attendance, gets the greatest traveling fan base in North Dakota. And, while Albany is a concern, you\u2019ll have Michigan, which has a solid national fan base and Northeastern, a school that is less than three hours away.<\/p>\n

We\u2019ve mentioned this in the past. I don\u2019t find the regional locations this year ideal in terms of attendance. But with this bracket, I see a pretty solid fan base in most places.<\/p>\n

Now if Penn State wins the Big Ten\u2026<\/p>\n

Jayson\u2019s Bracket & Approach<\/strong><\/p>\n

Once again this week, let me start out by putting everyone into bracket integrity. That means:<\/p>\n

1 Minnesota State
\n8 Quinnipiac
\n9 Notre Dame
\n16 AIC<\/p>\n

2 Michigan
\n7 St. Cloud State
\n10 Michigan Tech
\n15 Ohio State<\/p>\n

3 Denver
\n6 North Dakota
\n11 Minnesota Duluth
\n14 Northeastern<\/p>\n

4 Minnesota
\n5 Western Michigan
\n12 Massachusetts
\n13 UMass Lowell<\/p>\n

Now I will check for intra-conference matchups. I have Michigan-Ohio State and North Dakota-Minnesota-Duluth.<\/p>\n

First we swap Ohio State and Northeastern.<\/p>\n

We have three NCHC teams in the second bands. So we can only move Minnesota-Duluth to play Quinnipiac. Therefore we swap Minnesota-Duluth and Notre Dame.<\/p>\n

Therefore our brackets are now:<\/p>\n

1 Minnesota State
\n8 Quinnipiac
\n11 Minnesota Duluth
\n16 AIC<\/p>\n

2 Michigan
\n7 St. Cloud State
\n10 Michigan Tech
\n14 Northeastern<\/p>\n

3 Denver
\n6 North Dakota
\n9 Notre Dame
\n15 Ohio State<\/p>\n

4 Minnesota
\n5 Western Michigan
\n12 Massachusetts
\n13 UMass Lowell<\/p>\n

Are there any other tweaks I can make? I want to align a little bit more closely to bracket integrity in the second and third bands. If I swap Michigan Tech and Notre Dame, then I go from 7-10 and 6-9 to 7-9 and 6-10. This aligns more with bracket integrity to me in that band.<\/p>\n

So I make that swap.<\/p>\n

1 Minnesota State
\n8 Quinnipiac
\n11 Minnesota Duluth
\n16 AIC<\/p>\n

2 Michigan
\n7 St. Cloud State
\n9 Notre Dame
\n14 Northeastern<\/p>\n

3 Denver
\n6 North Dakota
\n10 Michigan Tech
\n15 Ohio State<\/p>\n

4 Minnesota
\n5 Western Michigan
\n12 Massachusetts
\n13 UMass Lowell<\/p>\n

Now I will start placing the brackets into regionals.<\/p>\n

Loveland \u2013 Denver bracket because Denver is the host.<\/p>\n

I want to place the Minnesota State bracket in Albany because of Quinnipiac and AIC.<\/p>\n

I want to place the Minnesota bracket in Worcester because of the two Hockey East teams.<\/p>\n

That leaves the Michigan bracket in Allentown, which has two Big Ten teams.<\/p>\n

Albany
\n1. Minnesota State
\n2. Quinnipiac
\n3. Minnesota Duluth
\n4. AIC<\/p>\n

Allentown
\n1. Michigan
\n2. St. Cloud State
\n3. Notre Dame
\n4. Northeastern<\/p>\n

Loveland
\n1. Denver
\n2. North Dakota
\n3. Michigan Tech
\n4. Ohio State<\/p>\n

Worcester
\n1. Minnesota
\n2. Western Michigan
\n3. Massachusetts
\n4. UMass Lowell<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

We\u2019re three weeks into Braceketology and we\u2019re already seeing some conference tournament results that are having lasting impact. Last weekend, it was Ohio State losing its series in three games to Penn State. The Buckeyes have no games remaining to change their PairWise possibilities, and right now OSU sits right on the tournament bubble \u2013 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":132112,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[947,4],"tags":[591,812,1671],"coauthors":[800,869],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBracketology: As college hockey playoffs kick into high gear, which teams are on the bubble, and which teams are locks for NCAA tournament bids? - College Hockey | USCHO.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"We\u2019re three weeks into Braceketology and we\u2019re already seeing some conference tournament results that are having lasting impact. 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