{"id":133501,"date":"2022-03-16T18:00:40","date_gmt":"2022-03-16T23:00:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wwwproxy.uscho.com\/?p=133501"},"modified":"2022-03-16T14:56:34","modified_gmt":"2022-03-16T19:56:34","slug":"bracketology-ncaa-hockey-tournament-picture-coming-into-focus-with-selection-sunday-coming-up-in-four-days","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wwwproxy.uscho.com\/2022\/03\/16\/bracketology-ncaa-hockey-tournament-picture-coming-into-focus-with-selection-sunday-coming-up-in-four-days\/","title":{"rendered":"Bracketology: NCAA hockey tournament picture coming into focus with Selection Sunday coming up in four days"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/a>
St. Cloud State fell 4-3 in overtime to Minnesota Duluth in the second game of the NCHC quarterfinals last Saturday night at the Herb Brooks National Hockey Center (photo: St. Cloud State Athletics).<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Selection Sunday is just a few days away, which means the NCAA picture for most of the schools is getting quite clear.<\/p>\n

We\u2019ve mentioned it elsewhere this week, but we can say with full certainty that the top 10 teams in the PairWise have secured their spots: Minnesota State, Michigan, Denver, North Dakota, Minnesota, Western Michigan, Minnesota Duluth, Quinnipiac, Notre Dame and St. Cloud State.<\/p>\n

Michigan tech is all but clinched as only .3 percent of the scenarios that can happen this weekend will knock them out. Add in the Atlantic Hockey champion ad we can comfortably define 12 of the 16 spots.<\/p>\n

It would take a lot to keep Massachusetts out of the tournament at this point as they have odds of 92 percent. Them and UMass Lowell can each get into the tournament if Minnesota State wins the CCHA title over Bemidji State.<\/p>\n

USCHO.com PairWise Predictor<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

Then there is Northeastern. The Huskies continue to take care of business of late, sweeping the final weekend of the regular season and knocking off Boston College in the quarterfinals. One win for Northeastern gets them in, but a loss on Friday to Connecticut in the Hockey East semifinals could make Saturday a long night of waiting.<\/p>\n

Then there\u2019s Ohio State. The Buckeyes have just a nine percent chance of getting in but could secure a spot if Quinnipiac wins the ECAC, Minnesota State wins the CCHA and any team except UConn wins Hockey East. This is NOT absolute, as there are scenarios when all three of these things happen and Ohio State still misses the field, but ALL three have to happen to give Ohio State a chance.<\/p>\n

All of that said, let\u2019s get on to this weekend\u2019s Bracektology:<\/p>\n

Jayson\u2019s approach and bracket<\/strong><\/p>\n

Once again, this week let me start out by putting everyone into bracket integrity.<\/p>\n

That means:<\/p>\n

1 Minnesota State
\n8 Notre Dame
\n9 Minnesota Duluth
\n16 AIC<\/p>\n

2 Michigan
\n7 Quinnipiac
\n10 St. Cloud State
\n15 Ohio State<\/p>\n

3 Denver
\n6 North Dakota
\n11 Massachusetts
\n14 Northeastern<\/p>\n

4 Minnesota
\n5 Western Michigan
\n12 Michigan Tech
\n13 UMass Lowell<\/p>\n

Now I will check for intra-conference matchups. I have Michigan-Ohio State.<\/p>\n

We swap Ohio State and Northeastern.<\/p>\n

Therefore, our brackets are now:<\/p>\n

1 Minnesota State
\n8 Notre Dame
\n9 Minnesota Duluth
\n16 AIC<\/p>\n

2 Michigan
\n7 Quinnipiac
\n10 St. Cloud State
\n14 Northeastern<\/p>\n

3 Denver
\n6 North Dakota
\n11 Massachusetts
\n15 Ohio State<\/p>\n

4 Minnesota
\n5 Western Michigan
\n12 Michigan Tech
\n13 UMass Lowell<\/p>\n

Now I will start placing the brackets into regionals.<\/p>\n

Loveland \u2013 Denver bracket because Denver is the host.<\/p>\n

Now it gets tougher.<\/p>\n

How do we allocate the brackets?<\/p>\n

Let\u2019s start by putting Minnesota State in Allentown.<\/p>\n

That leaves Albany and Worcester.<\/p>\n

The Michigan bracket has two eastern teams and the Minnesota bracket has one eastern team.<\/p>\n

What can I do here?<\/p>\n

How can I balance the two eastern regionals with two eastern teams each?<\/p>\n

One way that I can do it is swap two matchups \u2013 North Dakota-Massachusetts and Western Michigan-Michigan Tech.<\/p>\n

If I do that I get the following brackets:<\/p>\n

1 Minnesota State
\n8 Notre Dame
\n9 Minnesota Duluth
\n16 AIC<\/p>\n

2 Michigan
\n7 Quinnipiac
\n10 St. Cloud State
\n14 Northeastern<\/p>\n

3 Denver
\n5 Western Michigan
\n12 Michigan Tech
\n15 Ohio State<\/p>\n

4 Minnesota
\n6 North Dakota
\n11 Massachusetts
\n13 UMass Lowell<\/p>\n

Now if I put the Michigan bracket in Albany and the Minnesota bracket in Worcester, I think my attendance issue are somewhat alleviated.<\/p>\n

So that\u2019s my bracket for this week.<\/p>\n

Allentown<\/span>
\n1. Minnesota State
\n2. Notre Dame
\n3. Minnesota Duluth
\n4. AIC<\/p>\n

Albany<\/span>
\n1. Michigan
\n2. Quinnipiac
\n3. St. Cloud State
\n4. Northeastern<\/p>\n

Loveland<\/span>
\n1. Denver
\n2. Western Michigan
\n3. Michigan Tech
\n4. Ohio State<\/p>\n

Worcester<\/span>
\n1. Minnesota
\n2. North Dakota
\n3. Massachusetts
\n4. UMass Lowell<\/p>\n

Jim\u2019s approach and bracket<\/strong><\/p>\n

I will start out right away this week telling you that I\u2019m very focused on strengthening attendance as much as possible.<\/p>\n

My biggest attendance concern is Allentown, so a major focus is to put a great fan base in that city. Who\u2019s better than North Dakota.<\/p>\n

As you\u2019ll see below, though, that didn\u2019t work out too well thus I settled to have both Minnesota Duluth and Notre Dame, two strong fanbases, in Allentown. North Dakota, though, needs access to lots of tickets so what better place than the DCU Center, which holds 12,135 for hockey.<\/p>\n

Here\u2019s my approach. Like Jayson, I\u2019m seeding the field as expected, 1-16, and taking care of one conflict, which is, like Jayson to swap Northeastern and Ohio State top avoid No. 2 Michigan vs. No. 15 Ohio State.<\/p>\n

Thus I have:<\/p>\n

1. Minnesota State
\n2. Notre Dame
\n3. Minnesota Duluth
\n4. AIC<\/p>\n

1. Michigan
\n2. Quinnipiac
\n3. St. Cloud State
\n4. Northeastern<\/p>\n

1. Denver
\n2. North Dakota
\n3. Massachusetts
\n4. Ohio State<\/p>\n

1. Minnesota
\n2. Western Michigan
\n3. Michigan Tech
\n4. UMass Lowell<\/p>\n

To assign regions, I\u2019ll take the following steps:<\/p>\n

\u2022 Region with Denver must be placed in Loveland
\n\u2022 Region with Quinnipiac and Northeastern can go to Albany
\n\u2022 Region with UMass Lowell goes to Worcester
\n\u2022 That leaves the fourth region for Loveland<\/p>\n

Can I help the attendance in Allentown? I don\u2019t think so. But I could help either Albany or Worcester. If we move the North Dakota-UMass first round game to either Albany or Worcester, you\u2019ll increase attendance significantly in either. Personally, I\u2019d choose Worcester as you\u2019d be swapping out Western Michigan and Michigan Tech, to western teams, to send them to Allentown.<\/p>\n

So I\u2019ve arrived at my final brackets:<\/p>\n

Allentown<\/span>
\n1. Minnesota State
\n2. Notre Dame
\n3. Minnesota Duluth
\n4. AIC<\/p>\n

Albany<\/span>
\n1. Michigan
\n2. Quinnipiac
\n3. St. Cloud State
\n4. Northeastern<\/p>\n

Loveland<\/span>
\n1. Denver
\n2. Western Michigan
\n3. Michigan Tech
\n4. Ohio State<\/p>\n

Worcester<\/span>
\n1. Minnesota
\n2. North Dakota
\n3. UMass
\n4. UMass Lowell<\/p>\n

Now that I read back to what Jayson wrote (we each compile our own independently), it looks like he used the same logic to get the EXACT SAME BRACKET.<\/p>\n

We\u2019ll be back late on Saturday night with our final bracket predictions.<\/p>\n

Enjoy the hockey this weekend.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Selection Sunday is just a few days away, which means the NCAA picture for most of the schools is getting quite clear. We\u2019ve mentioned it elsewhere this week, but we can say with full certainty that the top 10 teams in the PairWise have secured their spots: Minnesota State, Michigan, Denver, North Dakota, Minnesota, Western […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":133502,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[947,4],"tags":[591,812,1671],"coauthors":[800,869],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBracketology: NCAA hockey tournament picture coming into focus with Selection Sunday coming up in four days - College Hockey | USCHO.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Selection Sunday is just a few days away, which means the NCAA picture for most of the schools is getting quite clear. 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