{"id":29095,"date":"2007-03-16T20:32:03","date_gmt":"2007-03-17T01:32:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.uscho.com\/2007\/03\/16\/predictor-madness\/"},"modified":"2010-08-17T19:57:00","modified_gmt":"2010-08-18T00:57:00","slug":"predictor-madness","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wp-admin.uscho.com\/2007\/03\/16\/predictor-madness\/","title":{"rendered":"Predictor Madness"},"content":{"rendered":"

In this week’s second edition of Bracketology, Jayson Moy issued a challenge to come up with novel or unlikely scenarios for the NCAA tournament using this weekend’s potential results in USCHO.com’s PairWise Predictor<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Several folks sent in interesting combinations, some of which were unfortunately rendered moot in short order by Wisconsin’s victory over Michigan Tech Thursday night in the WCHA play-in game. But some are still live.<\/p>\n

Three For Three In The WCHA<\/h4>\n

Longtime USCHO.com watchdog and friend Todd Cioffi sent in a discussion of the consequences of the ECACHL third-place game. To my eye, the most interesting scenario that results is this one:<\/p>\n

CCHA Semifinal #2: Michigan defeats Michigan State.
\nCCHA Semifinal #1: Lake Superior defeats Notre Dame.
\nCCHA Championship game: Michigan defeats Lake Superior.
\nCCHA Consolation game: Michigan State defeats Notre Dame.
\nECACHL Semifinal #2: Dartmouth defeats Clarkson.
\nECACHL Semifinal #1: St. Lawrence defeats Quinnipiac.
\nECACHL Championship game: Dartmouth defeats St. Lawrence.
\nECACHL Consolation game: Clarkson defeats Quinnipiac.
\nHockey East Semifinal #2: Boston University defeats Boston College.
\nHockey East Semifinal #1: Massachusetts defeats New Hampshire.
\nHockey East Championship game: Boston University defeats Massachusetts.
\nWCHA Semifinal #2: North Dakota defeats St. Cloud State.
\nWCHA Semifinal #1: Minnesota defeats Wisconsin.
\nWCHA Championship game: North Dakota defeats Minnesota.
\nWCHA Consolation game: Wisconsin defeats St. Cloud State.
\nAtlantic Hockey Semifinal #2: Connecticut defeats Army.
\nAtlantic Hockey Semifinal #1: Sacred Heart defeats Air Force.
\nAtlantic Hockey Championship game: Connecticut defeats Sacred Heart.<\/p>\n

Not only is there a five-way tie for third, which gets broken in the usual way by looking at head-to-head comparisons and then the RPI, but it gives the WCHA three<\/i> No. 1 seeds — the only three WCHA teams in the NCAAs, in this case.<\/p>\n

Changing the winner of the ECACHL third-place game produces amusing results. As Todd points out, “BU is always in 3rd, but their seed<\/i> changes based on who else, if anyone, is tied with them.” Play around and see what happens.<\/p>\n

Hockey East: We’re All No. 2!<\/h4>\n

Here’s one that hasn’t gone by the wayside just yet, courtesy of Fan Forum regular pro1disp. (His version actually included MTU beating Wisconsin, but that turns out not to matter.) The result of this scenario? All four No. 2 seeds go to Hockey East schools.<\/p>\n

CCHA Semifinal #2: Michigan State defeats Michigan.
\nCCHA Semifinal #1: Notre Dame defeats Lake Superior.
\nCCHA Championship game: Notre Dame defeats Michigan State.
\nCCHA Consolation game: Lake Superior defeats Michigan.
\nECACHL Semifinal #2: Clarkson defeats Dartmouth.
\nECACHL Semifinal #1: Quinnipiac defeats St. Lawrence.
\nECACHL Championship game: Clarkson defeats Quinnipiac.
\nECACHL Consolation game: Dartmouth defeats St. Lawrence.
\nHockey East Semifinal #2: Boston University defeats Boston College.
\nHockey East Semifinal #1: Massachusetts defeats New Hampshire.
\nHockey East Championship game: Massachusetts defeats Boston University.
\nWCHA Semifinal #2: St. Cloud State defeats North Dakota.
\nWCHA Semifinal #1: Minnesota defeats Michigan Tech.
\nWCHA Championship game: Minnesota defeats St. Cloud State.
\nWCHA Consolation game: North Dakota defeats Michigan Tech.
\nAtlantic Hockey Semifinal #2: Army defeats Connecticut.
\nAtlantic Hockey Semifinal #1: Sacred Heart defeats Air Force.
\nAtlantic Hockey Championship game: Sacred Heart defeats Army.<\/p>\n

More Hope For Michigan Tech<\/h4>\n

From Tim Braun, another combination of wins and losses to get Michigan Tech into the NCAA tournament even after losing to Wisconsin. He speculates, “I think the keys are Air Force not winning a game, Clarkson winning the ECAC and Lake State\/Wisconsin not winning their tournaments.”<\/p>\n

Having initially input the data wrong, I can also vouch that St. Cloud State losing to Wisconsin in the WCHA third-place game is a necessity to make this particular scenario work.<\/p>\n

CCHA Semifinal #2: Michigan defeats Michigan State.
\nCCHA Semifinal #1: Notre Dame defeats Lake Superior.
\nCCHA Championship game: Notre Dame defeats Michigan.
\nCCHA Consolation game: Lake Superior defeats Michigan State.
\nECACHL Semifinal #2: Clarkson defeats Dartmouth.
\nECACHL Semifinal #1: Quinnipiac defeats St. Lawrence.
\nECACHL Championship game: Clarkson defeats Quinnipiac.
\nECACHL Consolation game: Dartmouth defeats St. Lawrence.
\nHockey East Semifinal #2: Boston College defeats Boston University.
\nHockey East Semifinal #1: New Hampshire defeats Massachusetts.
\nHockey East Championship game: New Hampshire defeats Boston College.
\nWCHA Semifinal #2: North Dakota defeats St. Cloud State.
\nWCHA Semifinal #1: Minnesota defeats Wisconsin.
\nWCHA Championship game: North Dakota defeats Minnesota.
\nWCHA Consolation game: Wisconsin defeats St. Cloud State.
\nAtlantic Hockey Semifinal #2: Army defeats Connecticut.
\nAtlantic Hockey Semifinal #1: Sacred Heart defeats Air Force.
\nAtlantic Hockey Championship game: Sacred Heart defeats Army.<\/p>\n

Every Game Matters<\/h4>\n

Here’s a lesson in how seemingly-unrelated results can impact the NCAA tournament. Thursday afternoon, Matt Frost sent in a scenario under which Dartmouth edged Maine out of the field of 16 by winning a head-to-head comparison thanks to a .0001 difference in RPI.<\/p>\n

That assumed a Michigan Tech win Thursday, but re-running Matt’s setup with the actual Wisconsin victory, we find out that Maine now wins that same Dartmouth comparison by less<\/i> than .0001!<\/p>\n

Both teams show up at .5371 in the PairWise Predictor’s RPI numbers, but Maine wins when more decimal places are carried out — therefore keeping Dartmouth out after all. All because of the WCHA play-in result a thousand miles away.<\/p>\n

CCHA Semifinal #2: Michigan defeats Michigan State.
\nCCHA Semifinal #1: Notre Dame defeats Lake Superior.
\nCCHA Championship game: Michigan defeats Notre Dame.
\nCCHA Consolation game: Michigan State defeats Lake Superior.
\nECACHL Semifinal #2: Dartmouth defeats Clarkson.
\nECACHL Semifinal #1: St. Lawrence defeats Quinnipiac.
\nECACHL Championship game: St. Lawrence defeats Dartmouth.
\nECACHL Consolation game: Clarkson defeats Quinnipiac.
\nHockey East Semifinal #2: Boston University defeats Boston College.
\nHockey East Semifinal #1: New Hampshire defeats Massachusetts.
\nHockey East Championship game: Boston University defeats New Hampshire.
\nWCHA Semifinal #2: North Dakota defeats St. Cloud State.
\nWCHA Semifinal #1: Minnesota defeats Wisconsin.
\nWCHA Championship game: North Dakota defeats Minnesota.
\nWCHA Consolation game: St. Cloud State defeats Wisconsin.
\nAtlantic Hockey Semifinal #2: Army defeats Connecticut.
\nAtlantic Hockey Semifinal #1: Sacred Heart defeats Air Force.
\nAtlantic Hockey Championship game: Sacred Heart defeats Army. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

In this week’s second edition of Bracketology, Jayson Moy issued a challenge to come up with novel or unlikely scenarios for the NCAA tournament using this weekend’s potential results in USCHO.com’s PairWise Predictor. Several folks sent in interesting combinations, some of which were unfortunately rendered moot in short order by Wisconsin’s victory over Michigan Tech […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":140328,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"coauthors":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nPredictor Madness - College Hockey | USCHO.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"In this week's second edition of Bracketology, Jayson Moy issued a challenge to come up with novel or unlikely scenarios for the NCAA tournament using\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.uscho.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29095\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Predictor Madness - 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